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wealth management

December 9, 2022

Ruffer investment director Duncan MacInnes delves into the truth and fiction of the bull market.

In the classic Christmas film Miracle on 34th Street, Kris Kringle is on trial for claiming to be the real Santa Claus. His defence lawyer says, “If this court finds that there is no Santa, I ask the court to judge which is worse: a lie that draws a smile or a truth that draws a tear.”

Doesn’t that feel like markets recently?

November 28, 2022

Private market vehicles can generate premium returns over publicly traded markets with lower volatility in large part because they take away the investors’ ability to precisely time when the money comes in and out, says Keith Brakebill of Russell Investments.

November 4, 2022

Cash is trash. Cash is a melting ice cube. Going to cash is giving up... Ruffer investment director Duncan MacInnes says there's still life in the folding stuff yet!

Cash is trash. Cash is a melting ice cube. Going to cash is giving up.

Ruffer currently has the highest weighting to cash or cash-like assets in our history. We are concerned that liquidity is the new leverage and that a degradation of liquidity conditions poses an imminent danger to investor portfolios. 

So why, unlike other investment managers, are we comfortable owning cash today?

September 20, 2022

Despite the Bank of Japan resolutely sticking to its policy of negative interest rates and yield curve control in 2022, might it about to change course asks Jamie Dannhauser of Ruffer LLP?

So far in 2022, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has resolutely stuck to its policy of negative interest rates and yield curve control (YCC), despite the dramatic hawkish shift from the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) and, more recently, the yen’s nosedive. Might the BoJ be about to change course?

September 6, 2022

You might not realise the impact that behavioural biases in investment decision making can have. But understanding behavioural finance can help in avoiding losses over the long term says Russell Investments.

You might not realise the impact that behavioural biases in investment decision making can have. But understanding behavioural finance can help in avoiding losses over the long term.
 

September 2, 2022

Anyone can be taken in by financial bubbles, says Lauren French of Ruffer LLP; that's why they're so dangerous.

Anyone can be taken in by financial bubbles; that's why they're so dangerous. It’s also why we at Ruffer believe that navigating bubbles – steering the ship safely past the Charybdis of irrational exuberance – is the most important duty we owe to our clients.

August 30, 2022

The ‘Curse of bigness’ is back: wealth and power are once more concentrated in just a handful of companies, says Laetitia East of Ruffer LLP.

The ‘Curse of bigness’ is back: wealth and power are once more concentrated in just a handful of companies [1].

President Theodore Roosevelt was hailed for dismantling the powerful monopolies which emerged from America’s industrial revolution. Does his trustbusting provide a blueprint for what investors can expect from a revitalised antitrust movement on Capitol Hill?

August 22, 2022

This year, the global population surpassed eight billion people. The extraordinary population growth over the past century has relied upon, and been enabled by, the birth of vast industrial farming systems. Food, on aggregate, is plentiful. Yet today, the dual issues of food security and sustainability loom as large as they have done in the post-industrial era. These megatrends present sources of both investment risk and opportunity, says Harry Sevier of Ruffer LLP.

This year, the global population surpassed eight billion people.

The extraordinary population growth over the past century has relied upon, and been enabled by, the birth of vast industrial farming systems. Food, on aggregate, is plentiful. Yet today, the dual issues of food security and sustainability loom as large as they have done in the post-industrial era. These megatrends present sources of both investment risk and opportunity.

July 15, 2022

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable, says Jamie Dannhauser of Ruffer LLP.

It is hard to overstate how far free and unlimited central bank liquidity has rewired the financial system. As central bankers extract themselves from the monetary rabbit hole they have burrowed their way into, the damage to traditional portfolios is likely to be considerable.

This tightening of monetary policy is happening because inflation has returned – with a vengeance. Central banks are lifting short-term interest rates at a brisk pace. But there is an additional danger for liquidation-prone markets: quantitative tightening (QT).

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