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geopolitics

Future portfolio success will be built on impact
October 13, 2020

The volatility throughout this global pandemic has served as a blunt reminder of the vulnerability of our financial system to global shocks. Having spent 35 years in the private equity space, I have witnessed numerous economic cycles, but this downturn appears to be unique.

The volatility throughout this global pandemic has served as a blunt reminder of the vulnerability of our financial system to global shocks. Having spent 35 years in the private equity space, I have witnessed numerous economic cycles, but this downturn appears to be unique.

As we move further along the dreaded “second wave”, the main issue paralysing the finance sector is uncertainty. Concern over when consumer and investor confidence will return is widespread—and unfortunately, there is no immediate end in sight.

Why investors are on the frontline of Cold War II
June 9, 2020

World order has never been so complex for investors. The US and China have entered a new phase of long-term strategic global competition. America has moved decisively from engagement to containment of China’s technological, economic and military power. Globalisation has created new arenas for renewed ‘Great Power’ competition: financial markets; cyber and outer space; technology; the corporate world. As world order bifurcates, investors are on the front line. 

World order has never been so complex for investors. The US and China have entered a new phase of long-term strategic global competition. America has moved decisively from engagement to containment of China’s technological, economic and military power. Globalisation has created new arenas for renewed ‘Great Power’ competition: financial markets; cyber and outer space; technology; the corporate world. As world order bifurcates, investors are on the front line.

The geopolitical implications of a changing climate
May 7, 2020

The valuation of financial assets is based on expectations of future returns—but what if the next half century is vastly different from the previous one? Environmental changes are affecting companies and countries in a number of ways. Investors need to understand the key environmental trends and grapple with the implications for geopolitics and markets.

The valuation of financial assets is based on expectations of future returns—but what if the next half century is vastly different from the previous one? Environmental changes are affecting companies and countries in a number of ways. Investors need to understand the key environmental trends and grapple with the implications for geopolitics and markets.

A new world disorder?
December 18, 2019

Great power conflict has been rendered obsolete by the relentless advance of globalisation, material prosperity and the triumph of reason. So argued Norman Angell in The Great Illusion, published in 1910.

Great power conflict has been rendered obsolete by the relentless advance of globalisation, material prosperity and the triumph of reason. So argued Norman Angell in The Great Illusion, published in 1910.

Four years later, World War I exploded out of thin air. It began what Marxist historian Eric Hobsbawm described as the “short Twentieth century”, which ended with the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

Passion investors follow their art at LAPADA fair
September 27, 2019

Family investors collecting art for passion or profit, or a blend of both, should pay for the best example of an artist’s work they can, in a market made erratic by geopolitical uncertainty, say vendors at the latest LAPADA Art and Antiques Fair in London.

Family investors collecting art for passion or profit, or a blend of both, should pay for the best example of an artist’s work they can, in a market made erratic by geopolitical uncertainty, say vendors at the latest LAPADA Art and Antiques Fair in London.

Five things you will learn at the European Family Office Conference in London
September 20, 2019

More than 100 multigenerational business families of wealth from across Europe and the rest of the world will gather in London on 4-6 November for the flagship 21st Campden Wealth European Family Office Conference. What can family leaders and next-gens gain from attending this confidential peer-to-peer sharing of knowledge and best practice to forge a sustainable future for their businesses?

More than 100 multigenerational business families of wealth from across Europe and the rest of the world will gather in London on 4-6 November for the flagship 21st Campden Wealth European Family Office Conference.

Wealthy families invest in succession and safety in property in era of uncertainty
March 8, 2019

More family offices are looking to get involved in co-investments with other families and the best advisers in emerging property sectors could be the next generation, says a new report on wealth.

More family offices are looking to get involved in co-investments with other families and the best advisers in emerging property sectors could be the next generation, says a new report on wealth.

More ultra-high net worth individuals (UHNWIs) and their families were choosing to cut out the middleman when it came to their investment portfolios by setting up a dedicated family office and property was no exception, Knight Frank said in its Wealth Report this week.

Threats alerted as ultra-wealthy population booms
June 28, 2017

The ultra-high net worth population is set to grow by more than 72,000 people over the next five years, with growth underpinned by urbanisation, female labour participation, and transformative technologies.

The ultra-high net worth population is set to grow by more than 72,000 people over the next five years, with growth underpinned by urbanisation, female labour participation, and transformative technologies.

Threats to the ultra-wealthy include evidence of populist dissatisfaction with the elite, as well as potentially changing views on immigration, national sovereignty and deindustrialisation.

Russian investors take conservative approach to wealth
March 27, 2015

The number of wealthy Russian investors employing a conservative wealth management strategy has more than quadrupled in two years, according to a report due to be released by Campden Research next week.

The number of wealthy Russian investors employing a conservative wealth management strategy has more than quadrupled in two years, according to a report due to be released by Campden Research next week.

Twenty three per cent of participants said their wealth management objective was to preserve wealth, while 42% employed a balanced approach, and 35% sought growth, according to the Russian Entrepreneurship Report 2015.

Two years ago, the figure seeking wealth preservation was 5%.

Betting on a troubled world
December 1, 2014

Russian aggression in Ukraine, Ebola in West Africa, Middle Eastern conflict, US midterm elections and a continuing debt crisis in Europe. Even if global macro funds are poor performers, geopolitics and macroeconomic data needs to be central to your asset allocation decision-making. 

In terms of performance, hedge funds have had it rough the past few years. And of all the alternative investment styles, global macro has arguably had it the worst. Global macro strategies try to forecast macroeconomic developments around the world, such as interest rates, geopolitics, government policies and so on.

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