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June 30, 2021

The global economic reopening remains on track as Covid-19 vaccination rates climb. While rising inflation has become a concern, the spike in prices looks transitory so far. Ultimately, we still like the pandemic recovery trade that favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks. 

The global economic reopening remains on track as Covid-19 vaccination rates climb. While rising inflation has become a concern, the spike in prices looks transitory so far. Ultimately, we still like the pandemic recovery trade that favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks. 

Key market themes

October 21, 2020

The coronavirus pandemic has hit public finances like a war. Across the world governments have scrambled to offset the economic and social impact of the virus. Huge, and necessary, rises in public spending have pushed government deficits to levels not seen since the two world wars of the 20th century.

The coronavirus pandemic has hit public finances like a war. Across the world governments have scrambled to offset the economic and social impact of the virus. Huge, and necessary, rises in public spending have pushed government deficits to levels not seen since the two world wars of the 20th century.

The numbers are enormous: UK government debt now tops £2 trillion (1). whilst the US owes an eye watering $26 trillion (2). The picture is similar across Europe with many other countries also seeing debt/GDP ratios rising to over 100% (3).

June 1, 2011

Each spring, the guns fall silent in Afghanistan. US soldiers breathe a little easier. The children come out to play. It is the time when the poppy fields need to be harvested, so young Afghan males lay down their arms and get to work.

Each spring, the guns fall silent in Afghanistan. US soldiers breathe a little easier. The children come out to play.

It is the time when the poppy fields need to be harvested, so young Afghan males lay down their arms and get to work.

Around 30% of Afghan GDP derives from the export of opium and much of the money goes to the insurgency, as well as farmers and drivers. The rest of the economy is shot to pieces. There is no other way to keep busy, or make money.

January 12, 2011

Frontier markets could see an annual growth of 11% over the next 10 years, predicted asset managers Swiss & Global Asset Management, outperforming many developed and mature emerging markets.

Frontier markets could see an annual growth of 11% over the next 10 years, predicted asset managers Swiss & Global Asset Management, outperforming many developed and mature emerging markets.

Good economic prospects, strong demography and limited penetration by the stock market when compared to the overall GDP are some of the factors that can help these frontier markets grow, said the study.

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