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Russell Investments’ 2022 Global Market Outlook – Q2 update: Dented, not derailed
April 4, 2022

The Russia-Ukraine war adds to near-term growth risks for the global economy and will likely keep inflation elevated for longer. While uncertainty is high, equity markets are oversold and should recover if tensions ease in the coming months says Russell Investments’ global head of investment strategy Andrew Pease.

The Russia-Ukraine war adds to near-term growth risks for the global economy and will likely keep inflation elevated for longer. While uncertainty is high, equity markets are oversold and should recover if tensions ease in the coming months says Russell Investments’ global head of investment strategy Andrew Pease.


Key market themes

Is higher and more volatile inflation here to stay?
March 17, 2022

Inflation is running hot, even before wage-price pressures have begun says Ruffer LLP economist Jamie Dannhauser.

Inflation is running hot, even before wage-price pressures have begun says Ruffer LLP economist Jamie Dannhauser.

Central bankers tell us the current burst of inflation will be transitory and workers will not mind the temporary squeeze on their living standards.

In today’s full employment economy, this is not convincing. The implied policy response is flawed, potentially even reckless.

Is investing for higher inflation a poisoned chalice?
March 3, 2022

Increasing inflation volatility represents the greatest challenge to investors for a generation. A new regime and the collapse of the financial market status quo requires us to reimagine portfolios. No longer can we rely on yesterday’s logic says Ruffer’s chief investment officer Henry Maxey.

Increasing inflation volatility represents the greatest challenge to investors for a generation. A new regime and the collapse of the financial market status quo requires us to reimagine portfolios. No longer can we rely on yesterday’s logic.

“Inflation is the endgame. Just brace for inflation volatility first.”

This was the punchline of my 2021 Ruffer Review article.

Asia-Pacific family offices poised to lead world in cryptocurrency investments
December 11, 2021

Family offices in Asia-Pacific are fostering a newly energised enthusiasm for investments in the $1.9 trillion cryptocurrency market, ahead of European and North American counterparts, buoyed by pandemic-defying increases in wealth over the past 12 months.

Family offices in Asia-Pacific are fostering a newly energised enthusiasm for investments in the $1.9 trillion cryptocurrency market, ahead of European and North American counterparts, buoyed by pandemic-defying increases in wealth over the past 12 months.

The changing face of growth equity in Europe
December 2, 2021

Growth equity is focused on the space between venture capital and traditional private equity. Investments are made often as a large minority stake into companies at earlier stages with proven product/market fit, that are unprofitable or structurally profitable.

Growth equity is focused on the space between venture capital and traditional private equity. Investments are made often as a large minority stake into companies at earlier stages with proven product/market fit, that are unprofitable or structurally profitable.

Not all inflationistas wear flares: Why the new inflationary era won’t be like the 1970s
December 1, 2021

Investors have divided into two camps. Those who believe inflation will subside and the rise in prices will prove temporary. And others who fear we are entering a period of high sustained inflation reminiscent of the 1970s. We consider both scenarios unlikely.

Investors have divided into two camps. Those who believe inflation will subside and the rise in prices will prove temporary. And others who fear we are entering a period of high sustained inflation reminiscent of the 1970s. We consider both scenarios unlikely.

Overlay the bottom chart below and you would be forgiven for believing that we are now on the same trajectory as we were 50 years ago. There are parallels but to assume the economy will meet the same inflationary fate would be a grave mistake for investors.

Life after family business exit: Where will the road lead next?
November 24, 2021

For many, it’s the culmination of a lifetimes work. You’ve sold your business, the deal has completed and a large amount of cash has landed. Where do you go next?

For many, it’s the culmination of a lifetimes work. You’ve sold your business, the deal has completed and a large amount of cash has landed. Where do you go next?

Investing in big oil: Going ‘beyond petroleum’
October 27, 2021

The energy sector has fallen from 16% of the S&P 500 just 13 years ago, to below 3% as of today, as our chart shows. If you looked back to the early 1980s you would have seen it was more than 20%.

The energy sector has fallen from 16% of the S&P 500 just 13 years ago, to below 3% as of today, as our chart shows. If you looked back to the early 1980s you would have seen it was more than 20%.

If you add up all of the listed oil majors (BP, Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron etc) you get a market cap less than 40% of Apple’s $2.5 trillion (1). It looks decidedly like a one way track, reflecting an irreversible change to investor sentiment, indicative of a future no longer powered by fossil fuels.

How family investors are putting their wealth to work against global challenges
October 22, 2021

Family entrepreneurs attending the leading 23rd European Family Office Forum are putting their money where COP26 politicians’ mouths are by sustainably investing in transformational ventures and gaining healthy returns.

Family entrepreneurs attending the leading 23rd European Family Office Forum are putting their money where COP26 politicians’ mouths are by sustainably investing in transformational ventures and gaining healthy returns.

The essential and influential forum will be held by Campden Wealth on 3-4 November. The exclusive gathering returns to its in-person format in London for its 23rd edition.

Jonathan Ruffer on navigating investment risks and market crises
October 15, 2021

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

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